Sunday, October 30, 2005

DFC Week Nine Results

CORRECTION...
A mistake was made in calculating wins/losses for the week... the results are that Scott Latta wins his second week of the season, and Eddy Mc Jr comes in 2nd. Also, Scott moves up to 2nd in the DFC Power Poll, and leads the SouthCentral Division...

The Week That Was
Winning the second week in a row, and the fourth of his career, Scott Latta takes home the weekly win crown.

Finishing second was Eddy Mc Jr, also at 6-2 and vaulting himself into the thick of the McBroom Conference playoff hunt.

Third was Yours Truly, also at 6-2, and in fourth is Jason Duren, at 6-2. The rest of the top ten finishes at 5-3, with Tad Roose & Jon Osborne tying for 5th, Lori Smith in 7th, Drew Morris in 8th, the elder Eddy McBroom and James Hawbaker tying for 9th.

Also finishing:
5-3: DM Osborne, Justin Glenn, Tebe Shaw, Jason Demastus, Mark Gainey, Gina Williams, Matt Latta and Tyler Campbell
4-4: Tommy McLeod, Jennifer Ernst, Garrett Cheney, Ryan Sherman
3-5: Jason Barnette, Daniel Powell, Tim Wasyluka
2-6: Tom Johnson, Angie Pilgrim, Ty Coffey
1-7: Sarah Hasha
0-8: Michael Nipp (more on this below)

Standings
Fulaytar Conference
North Division

Osborne opens up a 3 game lead over Matt, and a 12 game lead over defending division champ Tom, Angie and Ty. Looks like a two man foot race in this division, with 24 games to go. If Matt can catch David Mark, his TBA will almost assuredly put him ahead--Matt hasn't used this TB drop yet, while DMO used his several weeks ago. Matt is going for his first DFC division title, and only second playoff appearance in six seasons (he posted a 3-5 record in Wild Card Weekend, which knocked him out of DFC III postseason), while DMO is trying for his 2nd division title and third playoff appearance (won the division in DFC II, made the postseason again in DFC V)
DM Osborne, 47-25 (14.13) (26-16) (21-9)
Matt Latta, 44-28 (12.0) (27-15) (17-13)
Tom Johnson, 35-37 (14.33) (21-21) (14-16)
Angie Pilgrim, 35-37 (17.0) (22-20) (13-17)
Ty Coffey, 35-37 (19.38) (22-20) (13-17)

MidCentral Division
Also a two man footrace, seemingly, between Justin and Tommy. Justin gained a game on Tommy this week, but knows he's got to win more than he, because it would take a lot for this TB to get below Tommy's at this point. Both men have used their drop. Jason Barnette, poised to make a run for the playoffs last season, took a stumble this week, while Tebe Shaw gained two games on him. Jenn, all but eliminated from the playoffs barring a monsterous finish these last three weeks, should be shooting for a winning season. Justin is trying for his third division title (He won the North in DFC II, and the Central in DFC V) and third playoff appearance, while Tommy's only playoff appearance came in DFC II, when he won the West Division and MVP title that season.
Tommy McLeod, 44-28 (13.38) (24-18) (20-10)
Justin Glenn, 43-29 (15.75) (22-20) (21-9)
Jason Barnette, 37-35 (12.0) (20-22) (17-13)
Tebe Shaw, 35-37 (14.0) (21-21) (14-17)
Jennifer Ernst, 34-38 (14.38) (17-25) (17-13)

West Division
Jason Duren's divisional lead now stretched to its 10th week, possibly a record in the DFC, though Drew Morris is now surging towards the top. Eddy's streak of winning 59+ games per season is all but over at this point, and his streak of four straight playoff appearances seems to be in danger as well (see East Division recap for details). Demastus, on his honeymoon, and Sarah, once again, seem to leave expectations unfulfilled. Duren is trying for his first playoff spot in this, his third season, in the DFC. Drew Morris has been there three times before, twice as a Wild Card (DFC II and III) and once as a West Division champion (last season). He's also made it to Deuce Bowl II and III, as a runner up to first Tad Roose then Chris Fulaytar.
Jason Duren, 42-30 (17.63) (25-17) (17-13)
Drew Morris, 40-32 (12.25) (24-18) (16-14)
Eddy McBroom, 38-34 (11.0) (22-20) (16-14)
Json Demastus, 36-36 (20.0) (20-22) (16-14)
Sarah Hasha, 33-39 (14.56) (21-21) (12-18)

McBroom Conference
East Division

The Mighty Gainey is not only trying for his record fourth straight division title, but will tie Eddy McBroom for consecutive playoff appearances if Eddy doesn't make it. I'm only three games back, however, and for the first time, the TBA is on my side. Tyler falls a game behind me, though still in the lead for the TieBreak title this year, while Garrett's playoff hopes are gone. Hawbaker, starting upside down, is only 2 games from righting his ship as well. Yours Truly is seeking my third straight playoff appearance and fourth overall (made it in DFC II, IV and V), while Tyler has never seen the postseason--of course, its only his second season.
Mark Gainey, 42-30 (13.63) (24-18) (18-12)
Yours Truly, 39-33 (12.22) (23-19) (16-14)
Tyler Campbell, 38-34 (9.0) (24-18) (14-16)
Garrett Cheney, 33-39 (19.22) (19-23) (14-16)
James Hawbaker, 23-25 (14.17) (14-16) (9-9)

South Central Division
The guys who have played the longest without a postseason game to speak of looks like they might end that holdout this year. Now that correction has been made, Scott is in control by a game. More than likely, the winner of this division will have a first round bye. Tad Roose is not finished yet, though, as he's third playoff spot--he makes it in every other year, but when he does, he does it right, having won the DeRamus Plate in DFC II and DFC IV. Lori, the defending divisional champion, and Eddy Jr both are trying for their third straight playoff appearances. Hopes for a McBroom Bowl, though faint, are still alive. Hopes for an Osborne Bowl or a Latta Bowl seem more like it.
Scott Latta, 44-28 (11.25) (25-17) (19-11)
Jon Osborne, 43-29 (9.75) (26-16) (17-13)
Tad Roose, 41-31 (11.0) (25-17) (16-14)
Lori Smith, 39-33 (11.38) (23-19) (16-14)
Eddy Mc Jr, 39-33 (19.22) (26-16) (13-17)

South Division
The evil of the TieBreak Average is that Daniel Powell can feasibly win this division--his first title--tied with Tim in record, but by virtue of a lower TBA, leave Tim not only out of the divisional race, but possibly out of the postseason, depending on where Yours Truly, Lori, Tad and others fall. Though making some headway, Gina is in a "now or never" mode for the division, while Ryan's Hope is fading quickly. Daniel made it to the postseason once before, in DFC III, finishing one game behind Tim Wasyluka for the division. Tim also won DFC IV's Central Division, but missed the postseason in DFC V. The defending divisional champ, Michael Nipp, has already put a stamp on his season and is heading towards the post office.
Daniel Powell, 40-32 (12.38) (27-15) (13-17)
Tim Wasyluka, 40-32 (12.75) (24-18) (16-14)
Gina Williams, 36-36 (10.63) (23-19) (13-17)
Ryan Sherman, 33-39 (23.22) (21-21) (12-18)
Michael Nipp, 25-47 (11.13) (18-24) (7-23)

Playoff Race
Top 2 division winners in each conference get 1st round bye, 3rd division winner and 4th, 5th, and 6th seeds in Wild Card Weekend.
Fulaytar Conference
1) DM Osborne, 47-25 (14.13) (would be North Division champ)
2) Tommy McLeod, 44-28 (13.38) (would be MidCentral champ)
3) Jason Duren, 42-30 (17.63) (would be West champ)
4) Matt Latta, 44-28 (12.0)
5) Justin Glenn, 43-29 (15.75)
6) Drew Morris, 40-32 (12.25)
7) Eddy McBroom, 38-34 (11.0)
8) Jason Barnette, 37-35 (12.0)
9) Jason Demastus, 36-36 (20.0)

McBroom Conference
1) Scott Latta, 44-28 (11.25) (would be South Central champ)
2) Mark Gainey, 42-30 (13.63) (would be East champ)
3) Daniel Powell, 40-32 (12.38) (South champ)
4) Jon Osborne, 43-29 (9.75)
5) Tad Roose, 41-31 (11.0)
6) Tim Wasyluka, 40-32 (12.75)
7) Lori Smith, 39-33 (11.38)
8) Yours Truly, 39-33 (12.22)
9) Eddy Mc Jr, 39-33 (19.22)
10) Tyler Campbell, 38-34 (9.0)

DFC Power Poll
1. DMOsborne, 47-25 (14.13) (1)
2. Scott Latta, 44-28 (11.25) (5)
3. Matt Latta, 44-28 (12.0) (3)
4. Tommy McLeod, 44-28 (13.38) (2)
5. Jon Osborne, 43-29 (9.75) (4)
6. Justin Glenn, 43-29 (15.75) (6)
7. Mark Gainey, 42-30 (13.63) (7)

8. Jason Duren, 42-30 (17.63) (NR)
9. Tad Roose, 41-31 (11.0) (10)
10. Drew Morris, 40-32 (12.25) (NR)
dropped out: Daneil Powell (8); Tim Wasyluka (9)

Game Bucket O'Wings
Thirteen times in DFC Regular season history has someone gone undefeated in a week. Its happened three times in the postseason. To go 0-8, however, mostly it takes not getting your picks in...
But twice, and only twice has someone turned in their picks and missed every single one of them. The first time was the legendary Ross Kingrey, who really should have had a solid career in the DFC. He went 0-8 in week three of DFC II.
And this week... our Michael Nipp, who turns in his picks first every week... missed every single one he turned in. This bucket of wings is for you, Mikey. Eat up.

Lies, Darn Lies & Statistics
  • And while we're on the subject of Mikey, lets talk about horrendous records... the worst full season record in DFC History was in DFC III, with Jason Demastus only mustering up a 31-65 record, followed closely by Trey O'Neal's 34-62 debacle in DFC IV and Josh Crosby's 39-57 nightmare in DFC II. But what makes Michael's potential record setting year (he's at 25-47) a potential record setting year is the fact that Jason, Trey and Josh all had trouble getting picks in, each missing at least 16 games due to non-picking. Michael has turned in his picks every week.
  • With 96 games in a season, it takes 48 wins to make it to .500, and 49 to have a .500+ record for the year. Last year was remarkable because Tyler Campbell was last in the league, and he was at 48-48 for the year.
  • Those in the league who have never had a losing record for the season, with at least two full seasons behind them, regardless of playoff appearances: Yours Truly, Lori Smith, Jenn Ernst, Matt Latta, Big Eddy, Tommy McLeod, Sarah Hasha, Drew Morris, Mark Gainey, Jon Osborne, Scott Latta, Michael Nipp and Tim Wasyluka.
  • Of those listed, Lori, Jennifer, Big Eddy, Tommy, Drew, Mark, Jennifer, Scott, and Michael have won at least 50 or more in every season they've been in the league--Jennifer holding the record with five consecutive seasons of 50 or more. Mark Gainey has had three straight 60+ win seasons.
  • Taking a look at all time records, Michael falls a little further, as he's now 6th all time with a 305-239 record. Matt Latta moved into 5th this past weekend, while Mark Gainey and Little Eddy passed Chris Fulaytar for 16th and 15th, respectively, on the list.
  • Sarah Hasha is 8 games away from 200 lifetime wins, Jason Duren is 9 from 150 wins and Garrett Cheney is 3 away from 100.
  • All time College listings find Jennifer still on top, and at 188-121, she's 12 from 200. DMO is in 2nd, while Michael and Yours Truly have tied for third all time.
  • The 10th spot on that list, and the race to finish in the top ten, heats up as Drew and Jonathan both are at 163-104, with #12 being owned by both Scott and Tad at 161-106.
  • Big Eddy becomes the 10th and final person in the College Top Ten to lose 100 games--next up to hit the 100 college losses mark is Ty (95) and Sarah (94).
  • In All Time Pro, Big Tom Johnson has held the #1 spot for over three years... but for the first time, he's got company at the top, as Jennifer and Yours Truly now share Tom's 137-98 record. I dont have the exact number, but I do know that Tom has been on top of this list for at least 36 consecutive regular season weeks... this is the first time he's been tied.
  • As for the rookies, Jason Barnette becomes the first of the rookie crop to break the top 30 in any of the Top Catagories--he's now 30th all time in Pro, with a 17-13 record. He needs 9 more wins to pass Brooke DeRamus' 26-20 record and take over 27th in the league, becoming the first (and possibly only this season) to join the "active block", which is the block on the list of active DFC'ers.
  • As many people as we've seen in the DFC, after five seasons, only six people have seen a Deuce Bowl. Tad Roose and Chris Fulaytar have each been their twice, having won both of theirs, while Drew Morris has come up a runner up twice. Jennifer Ernst made it once, Shawn Sharp won it once and Eddy McBroom made it last year (and lost).
  • With Chris retiring last season, the top spot for All Time Playoff Wins is up for grabs... the top seven is 1) Chris, 55-24; 2) Big Eddy, 50-22; 3) Drew Morris, 47-20; 4) Jenn Ernst, 42-22; 5) Tad Roose, 35-13; 6) Mark Gainey, 23-17; 7) Yours Truly, 21-11.
  • I mention this only because Chris is gone, there is a good chance that Big Eddy will miss the postseason, there is a decent chance that Drew will miss the postseason, and there is almost no chance Jenn will make it... meaning Tad and Mark--if they make it--have no where to go but up.
  • Nineteen people have tasted postseason glory... Tommy, Matt and Vic Paschal all are on the bottom with a 3-5 record each.
  • The best winning percentage, however, is Tad Roose, with a 72.9% playoff average, and Drew Morris in 2nd with 70.1%

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