Sunday, November 13, 2005

DFC Week Eleven Results

DFC Week Eleven Results

This has been updated to reflect TB Drops from Matt Latta, Angie Pilgrim, James Hawbaker & Yours Truly, as well as standings that it affects.

Playoff Spots Clinched So Far: David Mark Osborne (at least wild card)

The Week That Was...
Big Tom Johnson, on a surge for a playoff spot, wins his second week of his career. He also won in 2003's DFC IV, Week Five, both with a 7-1 record.

The Vandy/Kentucky total score of 91 points wreaked havoc on TBAs all the way around, but made it easy to pick the top ten... whoever picked higher for their TB finished better. Second place goes to Big Eddy McBroom, at 6-2, while 3rd goes to Mark Gainey, also with a 6-2 record. Fourth through seventh all finished at 6-2, and they are Yours Truly, James Hawbaker, Tebe Shaw and Lori Smith. In 8th is Tim Wasyluka at 5-3, and in 9th and 10th are Jon Osborne and Jason Barnette, both at 5-3.

The Standings
x=clinched postseason berth; z=clinched division;
Fulaytar Conference
North Division

Being the first to clinch a playoff spot, David Mark Osborne now shoots for the division title, still holding a three game lead over Matt Latta. Though winning the week, Tom Johnson looks to be all but out of it, barring a miracle finish.
X-DM Osborne, 56-32 (17.9) (32-20) (24-12)
Matt Latta, 53-35 (12.1) (32-20) (21-15)
Tom Johnson, 48-40 (15.09) (29-23) (19-17)
Angie Osborne, 44-44 (16.2) (27-15) (17-19)
Ty Coffey, 39-49 (22.8) (25-27) (14-22)

MidCentral Division
Its Tommy's division to lose now, with one week left and a game ahead of Justin. Both are almost certain of postseason appearances, with Jason Barnette several games back (and with very little hope of the playoffs)
Tommy McLeod 53-35 (16.7) (29-23) (24-12)
Justin Glenn, 52-36 (21.0) (28-24) (24-12)
Jason Barnette, 47-41 (14.5) (27-25) (20-16)
Tebe Shaw, 45-43 (16.8) (29-23) (16-20)
Jennifer Ernst, 45-43 (17.2) (25-27) (20-16)

West Division
While Jason Duren holds tight to his one game lead, Drew and Eddy volley back and forth for the 6th seed, and that TBA looking more important than ever. Again, this division looks as if there will be a division winner and a wild card, nothing else.
Jason Duren, 51-37 (20.0) (31-21) (20-16)
Eddy McBroom, 50-38 (13.3) (29-23) (21-15)
Drew Morris, 50-38 (15.5) (30-22) (20-16)
Jason Demastus, 46-42 (25.3) (26-26) (20-16)
Sarah Hasha, 43-45 (17.45) (27-25) (16-20)

The Fulaytar Conference Playoff Race
6 playoff spots--top two division winners get first round byes, 3rd division winner and three wild cards are in Wild Card Weekend
(1) DMOsborne, 56-32 (17.9) (would be North Div champ)
(2) Tommy McLeod, 53-35 (16.7) (would be MidCentral Div champ)
(3) Jason Duren, 51-37 (20.0) (would be West Div champ)
(4) Matt Latta, 53-35 (12.1) (wild card)
(5) Justin Glenn, 52-36 (21.0) (wild card)
(6) Eddy McBroom, 50-38 (13.3) (wild card)
(7) Drew Morris, 50-38 (15.5)
(8) Tom Johnson, 48-40 (15.09)
(9) Jason Barnette, 47-41 (14.5)


McBroom Conference
East Division
Though not officially, Mark has all but clinched not only his fourth straight playoff spot, but his fourth straight division title, and has moved up to potentially a first round bye. Though Tyler is ahead of Yours Truly, that will change once I put my TB Drop in.
Mark Gainey, 55-33 (15.4) (32-20) (23-13)
Yours Truly, 50-38 (11.7) (31-21) (19-17)
Tyler Campbell, 50-38 (12.2) (31-21) (19-17)
Garrett Cheney, 41-47 (17.9) (24-28) (17-19)
James Hawbaker, 34-30 (13.29) (20-20) (14-10)

SouthCentral Division
Like Mark, Scott has pretty much sewn up his first playoff appearance, and the division is not his to lose (as is the first round bye). The real battle is shaping up for the wild card positions between Jon, Tad, Lori, Yours Truly, Tyler, Daniel and Tim. Eddy Jr is going to have come on strong to make it back to the playoffs.
Scott Latta, 55-33 (15.5) (31-21) (24-12)
Jon Osborne, 52-36 (12.8) (31-21) (21-15)
Tad Roose, 51-37 (14.7) (31-21) (20-16)
Lori Smith, 51-37 (15.4) (30-22) (21-15)
Eddy Jr, 49-39 (20.55) (32-20) (17-19)

South Division
Pretty much for Daniel and Tim, its like this... you win the division or you don't make the playoffs. There will be no wild card for either one, though whomever wins the division will be speding week one of the postseason in Wild Card Weekend.
Tim Wasyluka, 51-37 (14.4) (31-21) (20-16)
Daniel Powell, 51-37 (15.6) (33-19) (18-18)
Gina Williams, 46-42 (14.0) (29-23) (17-19)
Ryan Sherman, 43-45 (27-25) (16-20)
Michael Nipp, 34-54 (15.5) (24-28) (10-26)

McBroom Conference Playoff Race
(1) Mark Gainey, 55-33 (15.4) (would be East Division champ)
(2) Scott Latta, 55-33 (15.5) (would be SouthCentral Div champ)
(3) Tim Wasyluka, 51-37 (15.6) (would be South Div champ)
(4) Jon Osborne, 52-36 (12.8) (wild card)
(5) Tad Roose, 51-37 (14.7) (wild card)
(6) Lori Smith, 51-37 (15.4) (wild card)
(7) Daniel Powell, 51-37 (15.6)
(8) Yours Truly, 50-38 (11.7)
(9) Tyler Campbell, 50-38 (12.2)
(10) Eddy Jr, 49-39 (20.55)

DFC Power Poll
(rank) (rec) (tba) (last Week)
1. DM Osborne, 56-32 (17.9) (1)
2. Mark Gainey, 55-33 (15.4) (4)
3. Scott Latta, 55-33 (15.5) (2)
4. Matt Latta, 53-35 (12.1) (3)
5. Tommy McLeod, 53-35 (16.7) (5)
6. Jon Osborne, 52-36 (12.8) (7)
7. Justin Glenn, 52-36 (21.0) (6)
8. Tim Wasyluka, 51-37 (14.4) (NR)
9. Tad Roose, 51-37 (14.7) (9)
10. Lori Smith, 51-37 (15.4) (NR)
dropped out: Jason Duren (8th); Tyler Campbell (10th)

The MVP Race
Here's the most likely candidates for the DFC Most Valuable Player Award:
David Mark Osborne... Why he should win: An entire season in the Top Ten, plus six straight weeks at #1, and the best record in the league
Why he shouldn't win: Weak division, with really only Matt giving him competition. He's been #1, but that best record lead has been shrinking over the last few weeks
Mark Gainey... Why he should win: Two time MVP (including winning it last year), he's rebounded from a rough start to capture his fourth straight division title, plus seems on the verge of getting his fourth straight 60+ win season.
Why he shouldn't win: He's a victim of his own success, as even if he goes 5-3 this week to win 60 games, it will still be his worst season to date. True, he's rebounded from a rough start, but he shouldn't have started so rough to begin with.
Scott Latta... Why he should win: May not have had the strongest showings in the leauge, but week after week, he's been consistant in the South Central Division, a division that possibly will have four of the six conference playoff spots--and he's about to win it.
Why he shouldn't win: Don't reward him for simply having a good season. He spent two weeks out of the top ten, and has only been as high as 2nd this year.

Rookie of the Year
Angie Mark Osborne... Why she should win: Became the first rookie since Mark Gainey to win her very first week in the leauge, then won another week in Week Five. Respectable record in a tough year.
Why she shouldn't win: Got lucky. After her week five win, the second half of her season has been horrible, and will be lucky to finish .500 or better. Currently ranked 24th. Also, sometimes picks games based on mascots.
Jason Barnette... Why he should win: Consistancy. No, he hasnt won a week (yet) but has really been on fire the second half of the season, and is still in contention for a postseason berth.
Why he shouldn't win: The Rookie of the Year Award is for the whole season, not just for the last six weeks. Average ranking is 20.2 for season, and will need a miracle to make the playoffs.

Playoff History
In case you are wondering what's happened in years past--and I know you are--here's a refresher course on DFC Playoffs

DFC I
First season, field of eleven players, top 4 make it to postseason
Michael Nipp and Jennifer Ernst are semi-finalists, while Shawn Sharp defeats Chris Fulaytar for Deuce Bowl I's championship
DFC II
(first season with divisions, 8 spots ,head to head bracket)
First round: Drew Morris def. West Division Champ Tommy McLeod; Big Eddy McBroom def. North Division Champ DMOsborne; East Division Champ Tad Roose def. Vic Paschal; Yours Truly def. Central Division Champ Chris Fulaytar
Second Round: Drew Morris def. Eddy McBroom; Tad Roose def Yours Truly
Deuce Bowl II: Tad Roose def. Drew morris
DFC III
Three wild cards in each conference, top two in Wild Card Weekend advanced to play division winners
First Round: Drew Morris and Jenn Hudson advance, as does Chris Fulaytar and Daniel Powell. Matt Latta and Michael Nipp eliminated.
Second Round: Jenn Hudson def. West Division Champ Eddy McBroom; Drew Morris def. North Division Champ Justin Glenn; Chris Fulaytar def. East Division Champ Mark Gainey (via TB); Daniel Powell def. Central Division Champion Tim Wasyluka
Final Four: Drew Morris def. Jenn Hudson; Chris Fulaytar def. Daniel Powell (again, via TB)
Deuce Bowl III: Chris Fulaytar def. Drew Morris
DFC IV
(same format as DFC III)
First Round: Justin Glenn and Eddy McBroom advance, as does Lori Smith and Tim Wasyluka. Yours Truly and Tom Johnson are eliminated.
Second Round: North Division Champ Jenn Ernst (formerly Hudson) def. Justin Glenn; Big Eddy def. West Division Champ Eddy Jr in McBroom Bowl I; East Division Champ Mark Gainey def. Lori Smith via TB; Tad Roose def. Central Div. Champ Tim Wasyluka
Final Four: Jennifer Ernst def. Eddy McBroom; Tad Roose def. Lori Smith
Deuce Bowl IV: Tad Roose def. Jennifer Ernst

Lies, Darn Lies & Statistics

  • This playoff might be the first time that none of the original Deuce guys--Michael, Tom, Shawn or Yours Truly--will be in the postseason. In DFC I, it was Michael & Shawn representin', in DFC II it was Yours Truly, in DFC III it was Michael Nipp, in DFC IV it was Tom and Yours Truly, and last season, it was Tom, Michael and Yours Truly. For this year, Michael's already out, and Tom is on the verge, and I've got a decent shot, though I don't control my own destiny.
  • We already know that DMO is in... given past years and trends, in the Fulaytar Conference, its safe to say that Matt, Tommy and Justin are in. The final two spots in that conference will come down to Jason Duren (who controls his own future--as in, he does what he's supposed to, there shouldnt be an issue), Drew Morris, Eddy McBroom and on the outside, Tom Johnson.
  • In the McBroom Conference, Mark, Scott and Jonathan can pretty much make their playoff reservations. The other three spots (including a division title) will be decided this weekend between Yours Truly, Tyler Campbell, Tad Roose, Lori Smith, Eddy Jr, Tim Wasyluka and Daniel Powell. Thats four people sitting at home this December.
  • Incidentally, the total points scored in this week's TB game (Vandy/UK) is the highest ever scored in a DFC Game. The 93 total by far blows out the previous high of 83 points scored in DFC II, when the NFL's Arizona got by Detroit 45-38 in Week 11.
  • The rest of the top five highest scores ever: #3, DFC V, Week 9, Kansas City beats Indy 45-35 for 80 points. #4, DFC IV, Oklahoma blows out Texas in Week 7, 65-13 for 78 points. And Mikey's Oregon Ducks beats Mississippi State in DFC IV's Week 1 by the score of 42-34 for 76 total points.
  • The lowest ever scored? Also this year... Alabama 6, Tennessee 3.
  • Jennifer's lead atop the All Time Win List is narrowing, as Yours Truly has moved within 6 games of her, her smallest margin in at least two seasons. With a 336-224 record, compared to my 330-230 record, I hopefully can catch her by next year.
  • Daniel needs just 2 more wins to hit 300, becoming the final active original DFC'er to do so. With a big week, Eddy McBroom can become the first non-original DFC'er to hit that mark, as his record is 293-179.
    Mark Gainey passes Eddy Jr this week for 15th on the all time list.
  • Though she had a rough start, Sarah's 4-4 record this week pushed her over 200 wins lifetime, the 20th person in the DFC to do so. Tyler Campbell's stellar season has helped him hit 100 this week as well.
    As far as rookies go, Jason Barney's 47 wins puts him 1 win away from at least a .500 season, and 3 wins away from legendary Brook DeRamus for 28th on the all time list. However, he won't get to Vic Paschals 56 win mark until next season.
  • Also up for a winning season their first year: Gina Williams (needs a 3-5 week), Tebe Shaw (needs a 4-4 week), Angie Mark Osborne (needs a 5-3) and a little farther back, Ryan Sherman (who needs a 6-2). With 96 games in the season, a 49 win season pushes you over .500.
  • However, despite all the possible winning records from the rookies, it looks like the third season in a row that no rookies will make the playoffs---both Jason Duren & Sarah Hasha missed it in 2003, both Tyler and Garrett last season, and barring an unbelievable finish from Jason Barnette and a meltdown from some others, all will miss the postseason this year.
  • With both Jonathan Osborne and Scott Latta likely breaking their five season playoff drought this year, that puts Sarah Hasha and Jason Demastus as the longest in the league without a playoff appearance. This will be their fourth full season that will end at Week 12.
  • Tommy McLeod is also breaking a playoff drought... he made the playoffs in his MVP winning DFC II season, but hasn't been back until this year, four seasons later.
  • At 196-123, Jennifer also has the chance of being the first to 200 college wins... though Yours Truly is in 2nd, again 6 games behind her. Obviously, I won't catch her this year, with only four games remaining. But I might not catch her at all, as Osborne's tremendous season has pushed him to 3rd on the All Time College list, one behind me.
  • Big Eddy is 9th on the All Time College rankings at 173-104. Four games back, with one week left, with the chance to finish among the top ten all time college this season sits Drew Morris at 169-108. One game behind him is Jon Osborne, and two more games back is both Tad Roose & Scott Latta.
  • Currently, the highest ranking retiree in the college list is Chris Fulaytar, with a 139-70 record, ranking 18th all time. Shawn Sharp is 22nd, with a 101-80 record. Then you have four active members, Ty, Jason Duren, Garrett Cheney and Tyler Campbell, followed by two more retirees in 27th and 28th, Vic Paschal (30-23) and Ryan Smith (30-26). I mention this only to say that tied for 29th is Gina Williams and Tebe Shaw, both with 29-23 records. This means that both can move up to at least 28th, possibly 27th on the all time list.
  • Checking out Pro, Tom Johnson still prevails, with 142 wins, as compared to Yours Truly and Jennifer at 140.
  • Justin Glenn needs but one pro win, or one loss by Tad Roose, or one game both picked the same for him to cement his status in the All TIme Pro Top Ten list. Currently 10th, he's actually only five games back from 9th (Daniel Powell, 120-102 wins) and 8th (Eddy McBroom, 120-75).
  • As far as this season goes, Daniel Powell is the front runner for the DFC VI College Title, with a 33-19 record. Close behind him, though, is a three way tie between Mark Gainey, DMOsborne and Matt Latta at 32-20.
  • For the Pro Title, Scott Latta, Tommy McLeod, Justin Glenn and DMOsborne are in contention for a piece of that one. If there is a tie, the tiebreaker used to determine who wins the Pro Title is simply taking the TBA from ONLY the pro games this year. Lowest one wins. Using this method, it stacks up like this: Justin, Scott, Tommy, DMO



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